Positions
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None
Prospects
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DXD, FAZ, DUG - bearish ETFs
Midnight-Hour Commentary
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Asian markets essentially got slammed as global recession concerns weighed heavily. HSBC trading was suspended and yet the Hang Seng was down more than 4%. U.S. equity futures are all lower by more than 1% in late Asian trading. We are likely to see a 6-handle on both the Dow (today) and S&P500 this week. Technical indicators are all pointing to falling equity markets and financials are likely to resume their slide after last week's brief hiatus.
This week is a heavy economic data week and no one is expecting anything uplifting, especially not from Friday's ultra-important Nonfarm payrolls report for February. The consensus is near -650,000 and some estimates are as high as -800,000. The unemployment rate is expected to rise to 7.9%, but I think we crack 8%.
I may look to enter into some bearish-ETFs this week. I like DXD (Short Dow 2x) and FAZ (Short financials 3x). I also think DUG (Short Oil/Gas 2x) may be a good play despite the back-to-back bullish inventory reports as demand concerns may take the limelight this week, outweighing OPEC actions and supply issues.
Live from my upper west side commode
TM
Monday, March 2, 2009
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